[:de]Vor kurzem kam Snøfrisk auf mich zu und fragte, ob ich nicht ein Rezept mit Ziegenfrischkäse kreiieren will (Ja, das hier ist Werbung!). Und ob ich wollte! Schließlich bin ich Ziegen(frisch)käse addicted! Habt ihr wahrscheinlich schon mitbekommen, nachdem ich Euch Ziegenkäseeiscreme mit Erdbeer-Swirls, Pizza Bianca mit Mangold und Ziegenkäse, Pasta mit grünem Spargel und Ziegenkäse, Kartoffelterrine mit Ziegenkäse, Basilikum und Pinienkernen und Panini mit karamellisierten Zwiebeln und Ziegenkäse präsentiert habe!
Wahnsinn wie viele Rezepte mit Ziegenkäse es bereits auf meinem Blog gibt, oder?
Natürlich wollte ich was ganz besonderes machen. Klar war schon mal, dass ich kein Eis machen wollte, denn schließlich hab ich das schon letztes Jahr gemacht. Schon lange hat mich die Idee eines herzhaften Cheesecakes gereizt. Ich liebe Cheesecake!
Nach etwas Tüfteln war jedenfalls klar, dass es einen herzhaften Cheesecake mit Crackerboden, Basilikum und karamellisierten Kirschtomaten geben wird! Ich bin stolz sagen zu können: es schmeckt so gut wie es klingt!
Bevor ihr jetzt geht, weil ihr denkt, dass das doch viel zu aufwendig ist…STOP! Den Cheesecake kann man prima am Tag vorher machen und der ist so einfach wie ein süßer Cheesecake (also wirklich sehr einfach). Die karamellisierten Kirschtomaten sind dann am nächsten Tag ganz schnell in der Pfanne gemacht!
Nur die Hitze hat mir einen kleinen Strich durch die Rechnung gemacht, denn ich konnte mich partout nicht überwinden bei 35° C den Ofen anzuschmeißen! Deshalb gibt es das Rezept jetzt, wo die Temperaturen wieder gemäßigt sind!
Vor einem Jahr: Ananas-Julep mit Minzzucker
Vor zwei Jahren: Pizza mit Nektarinen, Mozzarella & Balsamicocreme
Vor drei Jahren: Pfirsich-Rosmarin-Granita
Vor vier Jahren: Lila Milchreis
Vor fünf Jahren: Thymian-Haselnuss-Cracker
Vor sechs Jahren: Wachtel kalt und warm
herzhafter Ziegenkäse-Cheesecake mit karamellisierten Balsamico-Tomaten
ergibt: einen kleinen Cheesecake für 4 Personen (Springform 15 – 20 cm, für eine 28 cm Springform die Mengen verdoppeln)
Zutaten:
- 75 g Cracker (z.B. Ritz oder TUC, aber auch Cracker mit Kräutern oder Chili passen wunderbar oder glutenfreie Cracker)
- 20 Butter, geschmolzen
- 1 Handvoll Basilikum, etwa 7 g
- 300 g Ziegenfrischkäse natur, z.B. von Snøfrisk
- 300 g Frischkäse (oder ebenfalls Ziegenfrischkäse, falls ihr große Ziegenkäsefans seid!)
- 3 Eier
- schwarzer Pfeffer, frisch gemahlen
- Meersalz
- 2 EL brauner Zucker
- 1 EL Olivenöl
- 300 g Kirschtomaten
- 2 EL Balsamicoessig
Den Ofen auf 160° C Heißluft (oder 180° C Ober-/Unterhitze) vorheizen.
Die Cracker im Blitzhacker zu feinen Krümeln hacken. Mit der geschmolzenen Butter verrühren und in eine Springform geben. Ich habe eine kleine 15 cm Springform verwendet, 18 oder 20 cm gehen aber auch, dann wird der Cheesecake geringfügig niedriger. Mit einem Glas die Krümel zu einem gleichmäßigen Boden zusammendrücken.
Den Boden 10 Minuten vorbacken, dann herausnehmen und abkühlen lassen.
Den Basilikum und Frischkäse in einen großen Blitzhacker oder Foodprocessor geben und laufen lassen bis der Basilikum klein gehackt ist. Nach und nach die Eier unterrühren. Mit reichlich schwarzem Pfeffer und etwas Salz würzen.
Die Masse auf den Boden in die Form geben und im Ofen bei 160° C Heißluft (180° C Ober-/Unterhitze) 60 Minuten backen. Auf einem Gitter auskühlen lassen und dann am besten über Nacht in den Kühlschrank stellen.
10 Minuten vor dem Essen die Tomaten zubereiten und den Cheesecake aus dem Kühlschrank nehmen.
Dazu den braunen Zucker in einer Pfanne bei mittlerer Hitze schmelzen bis er komplett karamellisiert ist. Die Kirschtomaten zugeben und in dem Karamell wälzen, das Olivenöl darübergießen. Die Tomaten heiß werden lassen (1-2 Minuten), dann den Balsamico dazugeben und die Tomaten darin schwenken. Weitere 2-3 Minuten köcheln lassen, bis die ersten Tomaten aufplatzen und der Balsamico eingekocht ist. Mit Pfeffer würzen.
Den kalten Cheesecake mit den warmen Tomaten servieren.
Es ist wunderbar, wenn im Mund die Tomate zerplatzt und das warme Innere herausläuft, dazu ein Stück kalter Cheesecake!
Dieser Post ist in Kooperation mit Snøfrisk entstanden. Rezept, Konzept, Fotos und Meinung sind meine.
Sheer Madness how many recipe with goats cheese are already on my blog, isn’t it?
Of course, I didn’t wanted to make just something. I didn’t wanted to make ice cream, as I already made that last year (and it was phenomenal!) and I was tempted by the idea of a savoury cheesecake! I love cheesecake!
After some puzzeling it was clear that it will make a savory cheesecake with a bottom made of crackers, basil and caramelized cherry tomatoes! And yes, I’m happy to announce it tastes as good as it sounds!
Before you leave now, because you think this is much too elaborate for your routine… STOP! The cheesecake can be made a day in advance and is as a easy as a sweet cheesecake (so really easy) and the caramelized cherry tomatoes are made in a pinch the next day just before serving!
Only the heat wave did upset my plans, because I couldn’t bear to turn on the oven at 35° C! But last weekend it finally happened and here it is!
One year ago: pineapple julep with mint sugar
Two years ago: pizza with nectarines, mozzarella and balsamico
Three years ago: peach rosemary granita
Four years ago: purple rice pudding
Five years ago: thyme hazelnut cracker
Six years ago: quail, warm and cold
savoury goats cheesecake with caramelized balsamico tomatoes
yields: one small cheesecake for 4 persons (15 – 20 cm springform, double the amount for a 28 cm springform)
Ingredients:
- 75 g cracker (i.e. Ritz or TUC, but also cracker with herbs or chili would be suitable)
- 20 butter, melted
- 1 handful fresh basil, about 7 g
- 300 g plain fresh goats cheese, i.e. by Snøfrisk
- 300 g cream cheese (or more fresh goats cheese, if you’re huge goats cheese lovers!)
- 3 eggs
- black pepper, freshly ground
- sea salt
- 2 Tbsp brown sugar
- 1 Tbsp olive oil
- 300 g cherry tomatoes
- 2 Tbsp balsam vinegar
Preheat the oven to 160° C hot air (or 180° C top/bottom heat).
Use a food processor to chop the cracker into fine crumbs. Stir in the melted butter and place in a springform. I used a small 15 cm one, but a 18 or 20 cm also works fine, the cheesecake will only be a bit flatter. Use a jar to press down the crumbs for an even bottom.
Bake the bottom for 10 minutes, place on a rack and let it cool.
Place the basil and the cheese in a food processor and chop until the basil is very fine. Add the egg one by one and scrape the sides every now and then, until you have an even cream. Season with black pepper and salt.
Spread the cream on the prebaked bottom and bake for 60 minutes at 160° C hot air (or 180° C top/bottom heat). Let the cake cool on a wire rack, then place it in the fridge, at best overnight.
10 minutes before you want to eat prepare the tomatoes and remove the cheesecake from the fridge.
Therefore melt the brown sugar in a skillet over medium heat until it is completely caramelized. Add the cherry tomatoes and toss them in the caramel. Pour the olive oil over the tomatoes and sauté the tomatoes until hot (1-2 Minutes). Add the balsamico and cook the tomatoes for another 2-3 minutes, until the first tomatoes begin to burst and the balsamico thickens. Season with black pepper.
Serve the cold cheesecake with the warm tomatoes.
It’s mere wonderful, when the tomatoes pop in your mouth and the warm liquid emerges accompanied by a bite of cold cheesecake!
This post was created in cooperation with Snøfrisk. Recipe, photos, concept and opinion are my own.
[:]
![[:de]Der finale Kochbuchrückblick 2015[:en]2015: All new cookbooks reviewed[:]](https://coconutandvanilla.com/wp-content/images/posts/kochbuchrezension/kochbucher-2015/kochbuecher-2015-2.jpg "[:de]Der finale Kochbuchrückblick 2015[:en]2015: All new cookbooks reviewed[:]")
Wow, sieht der super aus! Und da hatten wir wohl die gleiche Idde 😀 Bei mir gibt es auch Cheesecake, allerdings die süße Variante, kommt am Sonntag 🙂
Aber mit den karamellisierten Tomaten, das ist echt eine geniale Idee!
Liebe Grüße,
Dani
Mmh, da bin ich aber gespannt was du zauberst!
Liebe Grüße
Lena
Ich werde es gerne ausprobieren, bin schon gespannt auf das Geschmackserlebnis 🙂
Und ich bin gespannt wie es dir schmecken wird!
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《539彩券：台灣的小確幸》
哎呀，說到台灣的彩券遊戲，你怎麼可能不知道539彩券呢？每次“539開獎“，都有那麼多人緊張地盯著螢幕，心想：「這次會不會輪到我？」。
### 539彩券，那是什麼來頭？
嘿，539彩券可不是昨天才有的新鮮事，它在台灣已經陪伴了我們好多年了。簡單的玩法，小小的投注，卻有著不小的期待，難怪它這麼受歡迎。
### 539開獎，是場視覺盛宴！
每次“539開獎“，都像是一場小型的節目。專業的主持人、明亮的燈光，還有那台專業的抽獎機器，每次都帶給我們不小的刺激。
### 跟我一起玩539？
想玩539？超簡單！走到街上，找個彩券行，選五個你喜歡的號碼，買下來就對了。當然，現在科技這麼發達，坐在家裡也能買，多方便！
### 539開獎，那刺激的感覺！
每次“539開獎“，真的是讓人既期待又緊張。想像一下，如果這次中了，是不是可以去吃那家一直想去但又覺得太貴的餐廳？
### 最後說兩句
539彩券，真的是個小確幸。但嘿，玩彩券也要有度，別太沉迷哦！希望每次“539開獎“，都能帶給你一點點的驚喜和快樂。
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Высокоскоростной Интернет: До 1000 Мбит/с
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オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの現代的展開
オンラインカジノの世界は、技術の進歩と共に急速に進化しています。これらのプラットフォームは、従来の実際のカジノの体験をデジタル空間に移し、プレイヤーに新しい形式の娯楽を提供しています。オンラインカジノは、スロットマシン、ポーカー、ブラックジャック、ルーレットなど、さまざまなゲームを提供しており、実際のカジノの興奮を維持しながら、アクセスの容易さと利便性を提供します。
一方で、オンラインギャンブルは、より広範な概念であり、スポーツベッティング、宝くじ、バーチャルスポーツ、そしてオンラインカジノゲームまでを含んでいます。インターネットとモバイルテクノロジーの普及により、オンラインギャンブルは世界中で大きな人気を博しています。オンラインプラットフォームは、伝統的な賭博施設に比べて、より多様なゲーム選択、便利なアクセス、そしてしばしば魅力的なボーナスやプロモーションを提供しています。
安全性と規制
オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの世界では、安全性と規制が非常に重要です。多くの国々では、オンラインギャンブルを規制する法律があり、安全なプレイ環境を確保するためのライセンスシステムを設けています。これにより、不正行為や詐欺からプレイヤーを守るとともに、責任ある賭博の促進が図られています。
技術の進歩
最新のテクノロジーは、オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの体験を一層豊かにしています。例えば、仮想現実（VR）技術の使用は、プレイヤーに没入型のギャンブル体験を提供し、実際のカジノにいるかのような感覚を生み出しています。また、ブロックチェーン技術の導入は、より透明で安全な取引を可能にし、プレイヤーの信頼を高めています。
未来への展望
オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルは、今後も技術の進歩とともに進化し続けるでしょう。人工知能（AI）の更なる統合、モバイル技術の発展、さらには新しいゲームの創造により、この分野は引き続き成長し、世界中のプレイヤーに新しい娯楽の形を提供し続けることでしょう。
この記事では、オンラインカジノとオンラインギャンブルの現状、安全性、技術の影響、そして将来の展望に焦点を当てています。この分野は、技術革新によって絶えず変化し続ける魅力的な領域です。
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民調
民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。
目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：
抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
民調是怎麼調查的?
民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。
以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：
定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。
為什麼要做民調？
民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：
政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。
民調可信嗎？
民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？
在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。
受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。
從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。
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民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。
目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：
抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
民調是怎麼調查的?
民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。
以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：
定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。
為什麼要做民調？
民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：
政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。
民調可信嗎？
民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？
在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。
受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。
從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。
2024總統大選民調
民意調查是什麼？民調什麼意思？
民意調查又稱為輿論調查或民意測驗，簡稱民調。一般而言，民調是一種為了解公眾對某些政治、社會問題與政策的意見和態度，由專業民調公司或媒體進行的調查方法。
目的在於通過網路、電話、或書面等媒介，對大量樣本的問卷調查抽樣，利用統計學的抽樣理論來推斷較為客觀，且能較為精確地推論社會輿論或民意動向的一種方法。
以下是民意調查的一些基本特點和重要性：
抽樣：由於不可能向每一個人詢問意見，所以調查者會選擇一個代表性的樣本進行調查。這樣本的大小和抽樣方法都會影響調查的準確性和可靠性。
問卷設計：為了確保獲得可靠的結果，問卷必須經過精心設計，問題要清晰、不帶偏見，且易於理解。
數據分析：收集到的數據將被分析以得出結論。這可能包括計算百分比、平均值、標準差等，以及更複雜的統計分析。
多種用途：民意調查可以用於各種目的，包括政策制定、選舉預測、市場研究、社會科學研究等。
限制：雖然民意調查是一個有價值的工具，但它也有其限制。例如，樣本可能不完全代表目標人群，或者問卷的設計可能導致偏見。
影響決策：民意調查的結果常常被政府、企業和其他組織用來影響其決策。
透明度和誠實：為了維護調查的可信度，調查組織應該提供其調查方法、樣本大小、抽樣方法和可能的誤差範圍等詳細資訊。
民調是怎麼調查的?
民意調查(輿論調查)的意義是指為瞭解大多數民眾的看法、意見、利益與需求，以科學、系統與公正的資料，蒐集可以代表全部群眾(母體)的部分群眾(抽樣)，設計問卷題目後，以人工或電腦詢問部分民眾對特定議題的看法與評價，利用抽樣出來部分民眾的意見與看法，來推論目前全部民眾的意見與看法，藉以衡量社會與政治的狀態。
以下是進行民調調查的基本步驟：
定義目標和目的：首先，調查者需要明確調查的目的。是要了解公眾對某個政策的看法？還是要評估某個政治候選人的支持率？
設計問卷：根據調查目的，研究者會設計一份問卷。問卷應該包含清晰、不帶偏見的問題，並避免導向性的語言。
選擇樣本：因為通常不可能調查所有人，所以會選擇一部分人作為代表。這部分人被稱為“樣本”。最理想的情況是使用隨機抽樣，以確保每個人都有被選中的機會。
收集數據：有多種方法可以收集數據，如面對面訪問、電話訪問、郵件調查或在線調查。
數據分析：一旦數據被收集，研究者會使用統計工具和技術進行分析，得出結論或洞見。
報告結果：分析完數據後，研究者會編寫報告或發布結果。報告通常會提供調查方法、樣本大小、誤差範圍和主要發現。
解釋誤差範圍：多數民調報告都會提供誤差範圍，例如“±3%”。這表示實際的結果有可能在報告結果的3%範圍內上下浮動。
民調調查的質量和可信度很大程度上取決於其設計和實施的方法。若是由專業和無偏見的組織進行，且使用科學的方法，那麼民調結果往往較為可靠。但即使是最高質量的民調也會有一定的誤差，因此解讀時應保持批判性思考。
為什麼要做民調？
民調提供了一種系統性的方式來了解大眾的意見、態度和信念。進行民調的原因多種多樣，以下是一些主要的動機：
政策制定和評估：政府和政策制定者進行民調，以了解公眾對某一議題或政策的看法。這有助於制定或調整政策，以反映大眾的需求和意見。
選舉和政治活動：政黨和候選人通常使用民調來評估自己在選舉中的地位，了解哪些議題對選民最重要，以及如何調整策略以吸引更多支持。
市場研究：企業和組織進行民調以了解消費者對產品、服務或品牌的態度，從而制定或調整市場策略。
社會科學研究：學者和研究者使用民調來了解人們的社會、文化和心理特征，以及其與行為的關係。
公眾與媒體的期望：民調提供了一種方式，使公眾、政府和企業得以了解社會的整體趨勢和態度。媒體也經常報導民調結果，提供公眾對當前議題的見解。
提供反饋和評估：無論是企業還是政府，都可以透過民調了解其表現、服務或政策的效果，並根據反饋進行改進。
預測和趨勢分析：民調可以幫助預測某些趨勢或行為的未來發展，如選舉結果、市場需求等。
教育和提高公眾意識：通過進行和公布民調，可以促使公眾對某一議題或問題有更深入的了解和討論。
民調可信嗎？
民意調查的結果數據隨處可見，尤其是政治性民調結果幾乎可說是天天在新聞上放送，對總統的滿意度下降了多少百分比，然而大家又信多少？
在景美市場的訪問中，我們了解到民眾對民調有一些普遍的觀點。大多數受訪者表示，他們對民調的可信度存有疑慮，主要原因是他們擔心政府可能會在調查中進行操控，以符合特定政治目標。
受訪者還提到，民意調查的結果通常不會對他們的投票意願產生影響。換句話說，他們的選擇通常受到更多因素的影響，例如候選人的政策立場和政府做事的認真與否，而不是單純依賴民調結果。
從訪問中我們可以得出的結論是，大多數民眾對民調持謹慎態度，並認為它們對他們的投票決策影響有限。
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